Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 1.707254 1.956644 2.230806 2.554739 2.927275 3.342590 3.841158
2025-07-20 1.435425 1.781340 2.193480 2.721473 3.381138 4.179727 5.222413
2025-07-27 1.224341 1.626417 2.139676 2.844676 3.790934 5.021450 6.750339
2025-08-03 1.043511 1.471338 2.051519 2.898909 4.110668 5.789709 8.308116
2025-08-10 0.869108 1.291581 1.895945 2.828056 4.238233 6.306069 9.594693
2025-08-17 0.717319 1.117138 1.717022 2.688453 4.234390 6.619895 10.619925
2025-08-24 0.622237 1.011631 1.622038 2.655951 4.380076 7.169233 12.081956
2025-08-31 0.542493 0.917434 1.529295 2.609440 4.490043 7.668164 13.527357
2025-09-07 0.504356 0.885452 1.531572 2.718056 4.870657 8.663723 15.969751
2025-09-14 0.460019 0.836060 1.496578 2.754728 5.126537 9.472000 18.192031
2025-09-21 0.412563 0.774326 1.431032 2.725361 5.254327 10.059907 20.081231
2025-09-28 0.362802 0.701607 1.335774 2.626120 5.233085 10.359004 21.441048
2025-10-05 0.343287 0.685675 1.348143 2.743407 5.666647 11.632025 25.046530
2025-10-12 0.326373 0.672707 1.364781 2.872323 6.144991 13.070935 29.258995
2025-10-19 0.307902 0.654061 1.367543 2.972907 6.579300 14.484473 33.665476
2025-10-26 0.285687 0.624491 1.343677 3.012591 6.886210 15.667125 37.750288
2025-11-02 0.255877 0.574438 1.269460 2.929457 6.901894 16.194651 40.364823
2025-11-09 0.224748 0.517324 1.172303 2.779631 6.738284 16.277734 41.891396
2025-11-16 0.205332 0.484563 1.125945 2.743147 6.842551 17.019683 45.233343
2025-11-23 0.187191 0.452462 1.077025 2.693476 6.906463 17.670752 48.450307
2025-11-30 0.180597 0.447396 1.091721 2.804753 7.399282 19.492325 55.196936
2025-12-07 0.170246 0.431671 1.078375 2.842085 7.702943 20.863200 60.922102
2025-12-14 0.157275 0.407647 1.041250 2.811454 7.817774 21.740354 65.368709